Monday, January 29, 2007

Helton ?

I say DON'T do this Theo if it costs ANY prospects.
Helton career AVG/ON-BASE/SLUG:
TOTAL .333/.430/.593
Home .371/.465/.676
AWAY .294/.393/.507

Last 2 Years AWAY:
2005 = .287/.418/.453
2006 = .266/.360/.421

SO:
1) Helton's gaudy careeer numbers are driven mainly by Coors Field
2) Helton's production is declining - what will it look like in 2010/11?
3) While a nice addition/pick up - I would only do this if the price is veterans. I think the Sox would be potentially better in '07 with a combo of Youk (3b)/Helton (1B) than a Lowell/Youk combo but not enough to justify trading Hansen or Delcarmen. AND Colorado definitely needs to take on 1/2 the salary so that Helton is more tradeable down the line if his production drops completely off.

There's my 2 cents

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